The Prospect Foundation

  • 葉耀元(Yao-yuan Yeh) 美國聖湯瑪斯大學國際研究講座教授
  • 邱師儀(Albert Shihyi Chiu) 東海大學政治學系教授
  • 陳婉宜(Ketty W. Chen) Adjunct Associate Professor, School of Business and Finance, National Sun Yat-sen University
Published 2026/10/13

Taiwan Strategists No. 31

Beyond the Midterms: Why American Strategy Outlasts American Elections

 

Yao-Yuan Yeh
Professor and Endowed Chair in International Studies, University of St. Thomas, Houston

 

Abstract

 Every American election invites renewed speculation about the future of U.S. foreign policy, and the 2026 midterm elections are no exception. In Taiwan, much of the discussion has focused on whether Republican leadership changes and shifts in congressional politics will alter Washington’s approach toward China and Taiwan. Such expectations, however, overstate the strategic consequences of electoral politics. Elections redistribute political authority, but they rarely redefine American grand strategy. Over the past decade, strategic competition with China has become increasingly embedded in the U.S. Congress, the national security bureaucracy, and bipartisan policy networks, making it less dependent on any single political leader or administration. This institutional perspective also helps explain why American strategy has remained broadly consistent despite partisan competition and leadership turnover. For Taiwan, the more important challenge is not predicting electoral outcomes in Washington but understandi

Keywords: U.S. Foreign Policy, Republican Party, Political Authority, Strategic Continuity, Taiwan

 

Generational Change in the Democratic Party and the Rise and Challenges of Progressives and Democratic Socialists

 

Albert Shihyi Chiu
Professor, Department of Political Science, Tunghai University

 

Abstract

 

 This paper examines generational change within the Democratic Party and the parallel rise of progressives and democratic socialists in contemporary American politics. Focusing particularly on developments surrounding the 2026 midterm elections, it argues that generational turnover should not be equated automatically with an ideological shift to the left. Rather, Democratic politics currently reflects three overlapping but distinct forces: generational insurgency against long-serving incumbents, progressive demands for stronger economic and social reforms, and democratic socialist efforts to restructure economic and political power. The paper traces the historical development of American democratic socialism from Eugene V. Debs and the New Deal era through Michael Harrington, the Democratic Socialists of America, Bernie Sanders, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, and the resurgence of socialist politics since 2016. It further assesses whether progressive and democratic socialist candidates can expand beyond safe Democ

Keywords: Democratic Party, Generational Change, Progressivism, Democratic Socialism, U.S. Foreign Policy

 

The Rise of a New Generation in U.S. Congress and Its Implications for the Future of Taiwan-U.S. Relations

 

Ketty W. Chen
Adjunct Associate Professor, School of Business and Finance, National Sun Yat-sen University


Abstract

 The 119th Congress is undergoing the largest generational turnover since systematic tracking began in 1930, with more than 70 members retiring or seeking another office. This paper examines how the incoming generation’s foreign-policy orientation is diverging along ideological rather than purely partisan lines, and what this structural shift means for the future of Taiwan-U.S. relations. It finds that bipartisan pro-Taiwan legislation and congressional diplomacy continue to be carried forward by newer members, but that a segment of newer Republicans is markedly more cautious about open-ended overseas commitments than the previous, more hawkish generation it is replacing, introducing a certain level of uncertainty that Taiwan’s congressional engagement strategy has yet to fully absorb. As a result, Taiwan should treat congressional goodwill as a dynamic relationship requiring sustained, cross-generational cultivation rather than a static, self-sustaining asset.

Keywords: Midterm Election, U.S. Congress, Republican Party, Democratic Party, Taiwan-U.S. Relations

Editor’s Note: The views expressed in this publication are those of the authors and do not necessarily flect the policy or the position of the Prospect Foundation.
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